The global coffee market has experienced unprecedented changes in 2025, with both Robusta and Arabica prices reaching historic peaks. Since the start of the year, coffee prices have surged beyond previous levels. In January alone, the average export price hit $5,181 per ton, a significant jump from the 2024 average of $4,178 per ton (VnEconomy, 2025). This sharp rise has left industry players and buyers questioning the driving forces behind it.
Key Factors Behind the Coffee Prices Surge
Severe Weather Disruptions
One of the biggest contributors to this price increase is the prolonged impact of El Niño. This weather phenomenon has caused extreme droughts in major coffee-producing regions, including Vietnam’s Central Highlands and Brazil. Both countries play a vital role in the global coffee market, and lower crop yields have resulted in supply shortages. Consequently, coffee prices have been pushed to unprecedented levels.
Economic and Political Uncertainty
Beyond supply chain issues, economic instability has further fueled the price hike. Currency fluctuations in key coffee-producing nations, rising transportation costs, and political uncertainties have made pricing unpredictable. As a result, both producers and exporters are struggling to stabilize costs, adding more pressure to the already volatile market.
What’s Next for Coffee Prices?
Although coffee prices remain elevated, experts predict they may not sustain the sharp upward momentum seen in 2024.Mr. Nguyen Duc Dung, Deputy General Director of the Vietnam Commodity Exchange (MXV), stated that prices may stabilize but will likely remain higher than the previous year’s average (Labour, 2025). However, external factors such as unpredictable weather patterns, global demand, and economic shifts could still influence future price movements.
Secure Your Coffee Supply with VHB Group
In an unpredictable market, partnering with a reliable supplier is essential for long-term business success. VHB Group is committed to providing stable, high-quality Vietnamese coffee despite market fluctuations. Here’s why we should be your go-to supplier:
Consistent Supply – Our strong supply chain ensures steady availability of both Robusta and Arabica coffee, even during market volatility.
Premium Quality – We deliver top-grade coffee that meets international standards, catering to bulk buyers, roasters, and specialty markets.
Competitive Pricing – While prices continue to climb worldwide, we offer cost-effective solutions to help you stay profitable.
Trusted Expertise – With over a decade of experience in agricultural exports, we are a trusted partner dedicated to timely delivery, transparency, and customer satisfaction.
Don’t Wait – Secure Your Coffee Supply Today!
As global coffee prices continue to rise, now is the time to lock in a reliable supplier. Whether you’re a coffee roaster, distributor, or wholesaler, VHB Group provides top-quality Vietnamese coffee at competitive rates.
Connect with us via LinkedIn to discuss your bulk coffee needs and discover how we can support your business with premium coffee solutions!